Grand Prix Scout has developed a real-word simulation platform that offers statistical probability projections prior to each Grand Prix. Numbers don’t lie and all of Grand Prix Scout’s base and derived indexes stem from historical data that allows us to analyze past events and forecast the future.
At the start of each race week, simulation results broken down by quartiles will be released, allowing you to see where each rider falls against his opponents based on statistical probability distributions. The results offer a panoramic view of the entire grid and insight to the fierce battles that occur mid-pack that are often left unseen due to the frontrunner coverage. Let’s break the simulation process and results down…
Simulation process – Thousands of race simulations are performed that take into account unique pieces of data such as external factor standardization, timing and weather. The simulations are circuit specific and only study racers who have at least 1 year of experience on the circuit since joining the premier league.
Simulation results – A calculated probability is assigned to each rider for each possible finishing position that identifies the likelihood of them finishing in that position. This allows us to analyze each rider through a range of positions and ultimately separate them into statistical quartiles. Due to substantial probability gaps, it is possible for each quartile to have a varying number of riders. As we know – a race frequently consists of numerous smaller battles broken up into groups, each equally competitive and each equally important as riders fight for the valuable championship points.
Results
To view the pre-race simulation results for a specific race, click on a title below. Results will be released one week prior each race.
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Jerez Pre-Race Simulation:
Iker Lecuona Red Bull KTM Tech 3,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Miguel Oliveira Red Bull KTM Tech 3 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Gran Premio Red Bull De Andalucia Pre-Race Simulation:
Iker Lecuona Red Bull KTM Tech 3,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Miguel Oliveira Red Bull KTM Tech 3 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Jerez Pre-Race Simulation:
Iker Lecuona Red Bull KTM Tech 3,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team,
Joan Mir Suzuki Ecstar and
Marc Marquez Repsol Honda 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Gran Premio Lenovo di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini Pre-Race Simulation:
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Marc Marquez Repsol Honda,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Iker Lecouna KTM Tech 3 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Gran Premio TISSOT dell'Emilia Romagna e della Riviera di Rimini Pre-Race Simulation:
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Marc Marquez Repsol Honda,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Iker Lecouna KTM Tech 3 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Gran Premi Monster Energy de Catalunya Pre-Race Simulation:
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Marc Marquez Repsol Honda,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Iker Lecouna KTM Tech 3 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Shark Helmets Grand Prix de France Pre-Race Simulation:
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Marc Marquez Repsol Honda,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Iker Lecouna KTM Tech 3 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Shark Helmets Grand Prix de France Pre-Race Simulation:
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Marc Marquez Repsol Honda,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Iker Lecouna KTM Tech 3 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Gran Premio de Teruel Pre-Race Simulation:
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Marc Marquez Repsol Honda,
Valentino Rossi Monster Energy Racing,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Iker Lecouna KTM Tech 3 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Gran Premio de Europa Pre-Race Simulation:
Bradley Smith Aprilia Factory Racing,
Marc Marquez Repsol Honda,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Iker Lecuona KTM Tech 3 
The following riders are not included in the 2020 Grand Premio Motul de la Comunitat Valenciana Pre-Race Simulation:
Takaaki Nakagami LCR Honda,
Marc Marquez Repsol Honda,
Miguel Oliveira KTM Tech 3,
Francesco Bagnaia Pramac Ducati,
Brad Binder Red Bull KTM Factory Racing,
Alex Marquez Repsol Honda Team and
Iker Lecuona KTM Tech 3