Welcome to Grand Prix Scout’s pre-race performance rankings where we classify riders by various performance indexes to prepare race fans for each GP. The indexes utilized for pre-race analysis paint a broad picture of the entire grid, identifying unique skills within each rider. Complimentary to one another, the 4 indexes below break down historical performance on each circuit with current in-season rider “form” used as a handicap tool to provide you with the most accurate analysis. Below the events, you will find a brief description of the 4 indexes utilized and their significance in the pre-race analysis.
Remember, racing is more than a fast bike with a talented rider. It is a mosaic of variable circumstances.
The following riders may be excluded from rankings depending on required data set: rookies, injured riders, test riders or those who have no completed a race at a specific circuit.
Riders with a “*” next to their names are those with only 1 year of data taken into account. All other riders have 2+ years of historical data used to generate their indexes, creating more concrete, statistically accurate rankings.
Grand Prix Scout has developed a real-word simulation platform that offers statistical probability projections prior to each Grand Prix. Thousands of race simulations are performed that take into account unique pieces of data such as external factor standardization, timing and weather. The simulations are circuit specific and only study racers who have at least 1 year of experience on the circuit since joining the premier league. A calculated probability is assigned to each rider for each possible finishing position that identifies the likelihood of them finishing in that position. This allows us to analyze each rider through a range of positions and ultimately separate them into statistical quartiles. To learn more about the simulation platform and pre-race results, click here.
The Efficiency Index identifies a rider’s ability to make forward progress throughout a race. This (new) index takes into account each rider’s performance in both free practice and qualifying as the starting grid position is used to weight/handicap the overall efficiency.
This index rewards riders for 4 complimentary performance factors:
1. A strong starting grid position
2. A positive net movement meaning they finished the race ahead of their starting position
3. A large net movement value which suggests they overtook a significant amount of their opponents
4. A lower volatility signifying productive movement
It is no secret that a rider without superior speed will drown in the sea of riders, especially during a highly competitive season such as this. Grand Prix Scout’s Speed Index tracks a rider’s ability to maintain speed through all 4 sectors of each circuit. While this index can be broken down onto a sector level, calculating all sectors combined awards those who maintain a well-rounded performance through all sectors.
Speed is nothing without consistency which is why we emphasize the Consistency Index as a significant player in rider analysis. Those who are able to maintain a balance of superior speed and consistency ultimately hold an upper hand to those who have yet to acquire the skill of harmonizing. Consistency is often considered a “fine tuning” skill that identifies a rider with strategic, methodical riding around a given circuit. Greener riders with competitive Consistency Indexes are considered more “mature” in their riding as they focus on the fine details in their skill set before pushing and testing their and their bikes limits in the speed department.