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2020 MotoGP Pre-Race Performance Rankings

Welcome to Grand Prix Scout’s pre-race performance rankings where we classify riders by various performance indexes to prepare race fans for each GP. The indexes utilized for pre-race analysis paint a broad picture of the entire grid, identifying unique skills within each rider. Complimentary to one another, the 4 indexes below break down historical performance on each circuit with current in-season rider “form” used as a handicap tool to provide you with the most accurate analysis. Below the events, you will find a brief description of the 4 indexes utilized and their significance in the pre-race analysis.

Remember, racing is more than a fast bike with a talented rider. It is a mosaic of variable circumstances.


Choose a race to view rider performance rankings

August 23rd - BMW M Grand Prix von Styria, Red Bull Ring - Spielberg

Rank Simulation Results Average Efficiency Average Speed Average Consistency 
1st Andrea Dovizioso Brad Binder Andrea Dovizioso Brad Binder
2nd Fabio Quartararo Miguel Oliveira Joan Mir Valentino Rossi
3rd Valentino Rossi Joan Mir Brad Binder Pol Espargaro
4th Maverick Vinales Valentino Rossi Fabio Quartararo Andrea Dovizioso
5th Alex Rins Alex Rins Valentino Rossi Alex Marquez
6th Danilo Petrucci Johann Zarco Maverick Vinales Maverick Vinales
7th Cal Crutchlow Jack Miller Miguel Oliveira Iker Lecuona
8th Miguel Oliveira Franco Morbidelli Johann Zarco Jack Miller
9th Takaaki Nakagami Iker Lecuona Alex Rins Cal Crutchlow
10th Johann Zarco Andrea Dovizioso Iker Lecuona Fabio Quartararo
11th Jack Miller Pol Espargaro Cal Crutchlow Johann Zarco
12th Franco Morbidelli Aleix Espargaro Danilo Petrucci Takaaki Nakagami
13th Tito Rabat Takaaki Nakagami Jack Miller Alex Rins
14th Pol Espargaro Tito Rabat Takaaki Nakagami Bradley Smith
15th Aleix Espargaro Alex Marquez Franco Morbidelli Tito Rabat
16th Danilo Petrucci Aleix Espargaro Danilo Petrucci
17th Maverick Vinales Tito Rabat Franco Morbidelli
18th Fabio Quartararo Pol Espargaro Miguel Oliveira
19th Cal Crutchlow Alex Marquez Aleix Espargaro
20th Bradley Smith Joan Mir

September 13th - Gran Premio Lenovo di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini

Rank Simulation Results Average Efficiency Average Speed Average Consistency 
1st Andrea Dovizioso Alex Rins Fabio Quartararo Joan Mir
2nd Valentino Rossi Fabio Quartararo Joan Mir Fabio Quartararo
3rd Fabio Quartararo Valentino Rossi Tito Rabat Tito Rabat
4th Joan Mir Joan Mir Miguel Oliveira Miguel Oliveira
5th Alex Rins Danilo Petrucci Andrea Dovizioso Takaaki Nakagami
6th Maverick Vinales Tito Rabat Alex Rins Danilo Petrucci
7th Jack Miller Andrea Dovizioso Johann Zarco Pol Espargaro
8th Franco Morbidelli Jack Miller Valentino Rossi Valentino Rossi
9th Pol Espargaro Pol Espargaro Maverick Vinales Jack Miller
10th Francesco Bagnaia Aleix Espargaro Jack Miller Andrea Dovizioso
11th Johann Zarco Takaaki Nakagami Pol Espargaro Maverick Vinales
12th Takaaki Nakagami Miguel Oliveira Danilo Petrucci Alex Rins
13th Cal Crutchlow Cal Crutchlow Aleix Espargaro Aleix Espargaro
14th Miguel Oliveira Johann Zarco Cal Crutchlow Johann Zarco
15th Danilo Petrucci Maverick Vinales Takaaki Nakagami Cal Crutchlow
16th Aleix Espargaro Francesco Bagnaia Franco Morbidelli Franco Morbidelli
17th Tito Rabat Franco Morbidelli
18th
19th
20th

September 20th - Gran Premio TISSOT dell'Emilia Romagna e della Riviera di Rimini

Rank Simulation Results Average Efficiency Average Speed Average Consistency 
1st Andrea Dovizioso Joan Mir *Francesco Bagnaia Takaaki Nakagami
2nd Valentino Rossi Alex Rins Fabio Quartararo Franco Morbidelli
3rd Fabio Quartararo Andrea Dovizioso *Brad Binder *Stefan Bradl
4th Alex Rins *Brad Binder Andrea Dovizioso Tito Rabat
5th Maverick Vinales Valentino Rossi Alex Rins Alex Rins
6th Joan Mir Takaaki Nakagami Valentino Rossi Joan Mir
7th Cal Crutchlow *Alex Marquez Joan Mir Pol Espargaro
8th Franco Morbidelli Danilo Petrucci Maverick Vinales Johann Zarco
9th Jack Miller *Iker Lecouna *Iker Lecouna *Brad Binder
10th Francesco Bagnaia Tito Rabat Franco Morbidelli Danillo Petrucci
11th Takaaki Nakagami Jack Miller *Alex Marquez Andrea Dovizioso
12th Johann Zarco *Francesco Bagnaia Johann Zarco Maverick Vinales
13th Pol Espargaro Franco Morbidelli Pol Espargaro Fabio Quartararo
14th Miguel Oliveira Pol Espargaro Jack Miller Valentino Rossi
15th Aleix Espargaro Aleix Espargaro Tito Rabat Miguel Oliveira
16th Danilo Petrucco Miguel Oliveira Cal Crutchlow Jack Miller
17th Tito Rabat Cal Crutchlow Takaaki Nakagami Aleix Espargaro
18th Fabio Quartararo Aleix Espargaro *Francesco Bagnaia
19th Maverick Vinales Danillo Petrucci Cal Crutchlow
20th Johann Zarco Miguel Oliveira *Bradley Smith
21st *Stefan Bradl *Alex Marquez
22nd *Bradley Smith *Iker Lecouna

Septemer 27th - Gran Premi Monster Energy de Catalunya

Rank Simulation Results Average Efficiency Average Speed Average Consistency 
1st Valentino Rossi Joan Mir Fabio Quartararo Joan Mir
2nd Joan Mir Pol Espargaro Valentino Rossi Valentino Rossi
3rd Jack Miller Jack Miller Joan Mir Andrea Dovizioso
4th Andrea Dovizioso Valentino Rossi Alex Rins Danilo Petrucci
5th Francesco Bagnaia Miguel Oliveira Andrea Dovizioso Pol Espargaro
6th Maverick Vinales Maverick Vinales Johann Zarco Jack Miller
7th Fabio Quartararo Johann Zarco Takaaki Nakagami Cal Crutchlow
8th Miguel Oliveira Tito Rabat Danilo Petrucci Johann Zarco
9th Pol Espargaro Francesco Bagnaia Cal Crutchlow Fabio Quartararo
10th Johann Zarco Danilo Petrucci Jack Miller Tito Rabat
11th Takaaki Nakagami Cal Crutchlow Pol Espargaro Miguel Oliveira
12th Aleix Espargaro Andrea Dovizioso Tito Rabat Alex Rins
13th Alex Rins Fabio Quartararo Miguel Oliveira Takaaki Nakgami
14th Danilo Petrucci Takaaki Nakagami
15th Franco Morbidelli Alex Rins
16th Cal Crutchlow Franco Morbidelli
17th Tito Rabat
18th
19th
20th
21st
22nd

October 11th - Shark Helmets Grand Prix de France

Rank Simulation Results Average Efficiency Average Speed Average Consistency 
1st Valentino Rossi Valentino Rossi Valentino Rossi Danilo Petrucci
2nd Andrea Dovizioso Jack Miller Andrea Dovizioso Johann Zarco
3rd Fabio Quartararo Alex Rins Jack Miller Miguel Oliveira*
4th Maverick Vinales Pol Espargaro Fabio Quartararo* Pol Espargaro
5th Jack Miller Andrea Dovizioso Maverick Vinales Andrea Dovizioso
6th Franco Morbidelli Tito Rabat Cal Crutchlow Franco Morbidelli
7th Joan Mir Danilo Petrucci Danilo Petrucci Valentino Rossi
8th Pol Espargaro Miguel Oliveira* Franco Morbidelli Jack Miller
9th Alex Rins Maverick Vinales Alex Rins Takaaki Nakgami
10th Francesco Bagnaia Fabio Quartararo* Pol Espargaro Maverick Vinales
11th Danilo Petrucci Cal Crutchlow Johann Zarco Cal Crutchlow
12th Cal Crutchlow Joan Mir* Aleix Espargaro Alex Rins
13th Takaaki Nakagami Franco Morbidelli Takaaki Nakagami Tito Rabat
14th Miguel Oliveira Aleix Espargaro Tito Rabat Aleix Espargaro
15th Alex Espargaro Takaaki Nakagami Miguel Oliveira* Fabio Quartararo*
16th Johann Zarco Johann Zarco
17th Tito Rabat Francesco Bagnaia*
18th
19th
20th
21st
22nd

October 18th - Gran Premio Michelin de Aragon

Rank Simulation Results Average Efficiency Average Speed Average Consistency 
1st Fabio Quartararo* Franco Morbidelli Fabio Quartararo* Fabio Quartararo*
2nd Andrea Dovizioso Tito Rabat Valentino Rossi Cal Crutchlow
3rd Maverick Vinales Alex Rins Andrea Dovizioso Aleix Espargaro
4th Valentino Rossi Andrea Dovizioso Aleix Espargaro Valentino Rossi
5th Cal Crutchlow Pol Espargaro Cal Crutchlow Jack Miller
6th Jack Miller Valentino Rossi Maverick Vinales Franco Morbidelli
7th Alex Rins Aleix Espargaro Pol Espargaro Maverick Vinales
8th Joan Mir* Miguel Oliveira* Jack Miller Takaaki Nakgami
9th Aleix Espargaro Jack Miller Johann Zarco  Miguel Oliveira*
10th Takaaki Nakagami Takaaki Nakagami Franco Morbidelli Andrea Dovizioso
11th Pol Espargaro Johann Zarco Alex Rins Tito Rabat
12th Franco Morbidlli Maverick Vinales Danilo Petrucci Joan Mir*
13th Miguel Oliveira* Cal Crutchlow Takaaki Nakagami Johann Zarco
14th Danilo Petrucci Danilo Petrucci Joan Mir* Francesco Bagnaia*
15th Johann Zarco Francesco Bagnaia* Tito Rabat Danilo Petrucci
16th Francesco Bagania* Joan Mir* Miguel Oliveira* Pol Espargaro
17th Tito Rabat Fabio Quartararo* Francesco Bagnaia* Alex Rins
18th
19th
20th
21st
22nd

October 25th - Gran Premio de Teruel

Rank Simulation Results Average Efficiency Average Speed Average Consistency 
1st Fabio Quartararo Alex Marquez* Alex Marquez* Brad Binder*
2nd Andrea Dovizioso Alex Rins Cal Crutchlow Alex Marquez*
3rd Maverick Vinales Brad Binder* Andrea Dovizioso Takaaki Nakagami
4th Cal Crutchlow Andrea Dovizioso Maverick Vinales Iker Lecuona*
5th Alex Rins Franco Morbidelli Alex Rins Franco Morbidelli
6th Jack Miller Francesco Bagnaia Joan Mir Cal Crutchlow
7th Joan Mir Tito Rabat Pol Espargaro Johann Zarco
8th Aleix Espargaro Takaaki Nakagami Aleix Espargaro Joan Mir
9th Takaaki Nakagami Joan Mir Franco Morbidelli Maverick Vinales
10th Pol Espargaro Johann Zarco Johann Zarco Tito Rabat
11th Franco Morbidelli Pol Espargaro Jack Miller Aleix Espargaro
12th Miguel Oliveira Miguel Oliveira Takaaki Nakagami Jack Miller
13th Danilo Petrucci Aleix Espargaro Brad Binder* Pol Espargaro
14th Johann Zarco Iker Lecuona* Iker Lecuona* Andrea Dovizioso
15th Francesco Bagania Jack Miller Fabio Quartararo Alex Rins
16th Tito Rabat Maverick Vinales Danilo Petrucci Miguel Oliveira
17th Cal Crutchlow Miguel Oliveira Danilo Petrucci
18th Danilo Petrucci Tito Rabat Francesco Bagnaia
19th Fabio Quartararo Francesco Bagnaia Fabio Quartararo
20th
21st
22nd

November 8th - Gran Premio de Europa

Rank Simulation Results Average Efficiency Average Speed Average Consistency 
1st Fabio Quartararo Alex Rins Fabio Quartararo* Fabio Quartararo*
2nd Franco Morbidelli Tito Rabat Alex Rins Takaaki Nakagami
3rd Valentino Rossi Valentino Rossi Joan Mir* Alex Rins
4th Maverick Vinales Cal Crutchlow Andrea Dovizioso Johann Zarco
5th Cal Crutchlow Johann Zarco Johann Zarco Joan Mir*
6th Alex Rins Joan Mir* Valentino Rossi Andrea Dovizioso
7th Andrea Dovizioso Pol Espargaro Pol Espargaro Jack Miller
8th Joan Mir Danilo Petrucci Maverick Vinales Pol Espargaro
9th Johann Zarco Jack Miller Cal Crutchlow Tito Rabat
10th Pol Espargaro Aleix Espargaro Aleix Espargaro Danilo Petrucci
11th Aleix Espargaro Andrea Dovizioso Takaaki Nakagami Aleix Espargaro
12th Danilo Petrucci Franco Morbidelli Jack Miller Valentino Rossi
13th Jack Miller Maverick Vinales Danilo Petrucci Cal Crutchlow
14th Tito Rabat Fabio Quartararo* Tito Rabat Maverick Vinales
15th Takaaki Nakagami
16th
17th
18th
19th
20th
21st
22nd

November 15th - Grand Premio Motul de la Comunitat Valenciana

Rank Simulation Results Average Efficiency Average Speed Average Consistency 
1st Alex Rins Alex Marquez* Joan Mir Takaaki Nakagami
2nd Franco Morbidelli Francesco Bagnaia* Alex Rins Alex Rins
3rd Joan Mir Joan Mir Valentino Rossi Joan Mir
4th Valentino Rossi Miguel Oliveira* Takaaki Nakagami Cal Crutchlow
5th Fabio Quartararo Alex Rins Pol Espargaro Fabio Quartararo
6th Maverick Vinales Valentino Rossi Fabio Quartararo Tito Rabat
7th Cal Crutchlow Tito Rabat Cal Crutchlow Jack Miller
8th Andrea Dovizioso Cal Crutchlow Johann Zarco Danilo Petrucci
9th Pol Espargaro Danilo Petrucci Andrea Dovizioso Franco Morbidelli
10th Johann Zarco Brad Binder* Miguel Oliveira* Johann Zarco
11th Jack Miller Aleix Espargaro Brad Binder* Valentino Rossi
12th Aleix Espargaro Jack Miller Maverick Vinales Pol Espargaro
13th Danilo Petrucci Andrea Dovizioso Jack Miller Miguel Oliveira*
14th Tito Rabat Maverick Vinales Aleix Espargaro Maverick Vinales
15th Pol Espargaro Tito Rabat Andrea Dovizioso
16th Johann Zarco Danilo Petrucci Aleix Espargaro
17th Takaaki Nakagami Franco Morbidelli Brad Binder*
18th Franco Morbidelli
19th Fabio Quartararo
20th
21st
22nd

The following riders may be excluded from rankings depending on required data set: rookies, injured riders, test riders or those who have no completed a race at a specific circuit.

Riders with a “*” next to their names are those with only 1 year of data taken into account. All other riders have 2+ years of historical data used to generate their indexes, creating more concrete, statistically accurate rankings.


Index Definitions and Significance

Real World Race Simulation

Grand Prix Scout has developed a real-word simulation platform that offers statistical probability projections prior to each Grand Prix. Thousands of race simulations are performed that take into account unique pieces of data such as external factor standardization, timing and weather. The simulations are circuit specific and only study racers who have at least 1 year of experience on the circuit since joining the premier league. A calculated probability is assigned to each rider for each possible finishing position that identifies the likelihood of them finishing in that position. This allows us to analyze each rider through a range of positions and ultimately separate them into statistical quartiles. To learn more about the simulation platform and pre-race results, click here.

Average Efficiency Index

The Efficiency Index identifies a rider’s ability to make forward progress throughout a race. This (new) index takes into account each rider’s performance in both free practice and qualifying as the starting grid position is used to weight/handicap the overall efficiency. This index rewards riders for 4 complimentary performance factors: 1. A strong starting grid position 2. A positive net movement meaning they finished the race ahead of their starting position 3. A large net movement value which suggests they overtook a significant amount of their opponents 4. A lower volatility signifying productive movement

Average Speed Index

It is no secret that a rider without superior speed will drown in the sea of riders, especially during a highly competitive season such as this. Grand Prix Scout’s Speed Index tracks a rider’s ability to maintain speed through all 4 sectors of each circuit. While this index can be broken down onto a sector level, calculating all sectors combined awards those who maintain a well-rounded performance through all sectors.

Average Consistency Index

Speed is nothing without consistency which is why we emphasize the Consistency Index as a significant player in rider analysis. Those who are able to maintain a balance of superior speed and consistency ultimately hold an upper hand to those who have yet to acquire the skill of harmonizing. Consistency is often considered a “fine tuning” skill that identifies a rider with strategic, methodical riding around a given circuit. Greener riders with competitive Consistency Indexes are considered more “mature” in their riding as they focus on the fine details in their skill set before pushing and testing their and their bikes limits in the speed department.
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